Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 6pm UK
Aker Stadion
Molde3 - 0Cercle Brugge
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Silkeborg 3-2 Molde
Thursday, August 1 at 6.15pm in Europa League
Thursday, August 1 at 6.15pm in Europa League
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-2 Kortrijk
Sunday, August 4 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Sunday, August 4 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
We said: Molde 1-1 Cercle Brugge
Both teams enter Thursday's contest having edged themselves into the third qualifying round amidst struggling on the domestic front. Taking into account the fact that both sides are not quite firing on all cylinders, a cagey first-leg draw could be on the cards which would keep the tie nicely poised ahead of next week's second leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 56.29%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 22.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 1-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Cercle Brugge |
56.29% ( 0.08) | 21.37% ( -0.04) | 22.34% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.8% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.63% ( 0.13) | 37.37% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.42% ( 0.14) | 59.59% ( -0.14) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.79% ( 0.07) | 13.21% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.04% ( 0.14) | 39.96% ( -0.13) |
| Cercle Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.06% ( 0.04) | 29.94% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.96% ( 0.05) | 66.04% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Molde 56.29%
Cercle Brugge 22.34%
Draw 21.37%
| Molde | Draw | Cercle Brugge |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.79% Total : 56.29% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.37% | 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 22.34% |
How you voted: Molde vs Cercle Brugge
Molde
60.0%Draw
33.3%Cercle Brugge
6.7%15
Form Guide
