Having rediscovered some form in recent matches, we feel that this could be a comfortable 90 minutes for PSV. While Graz have the freedom to go all out for victory, an early goal for the home side may derail them in their tracks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 22.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Sturm Graz win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Sturm Graz
53.58%	23.59%	22.83%

Both teams to score 53.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.16%

46.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.9%

69.1%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.59%

17.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.15%

47.85%

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.22%

34.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.49%

71.51%

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 53.58%

Sturm Graz 22.83%

Draw 23.58%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Sturm Graz
1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 9.77% 2-0 @ 9.25% 3-1 @ 5.69% 3-0 @ 5.39% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.49% 4-0 @ 2.36% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.73% Total : 53.58%	1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.58%	0-1 @ 6.4% 1-2 @ 5.9% 0-2 @ 3.38% 1-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.07% Total : 22.83%