Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.52%) and 1-3 (5.06%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Sturm Graz | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
36.2% | 22.27% | 41.53% |
Both teams to score 68.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.73% | 32.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.12% | 53.88% |
Sturm Graz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.36% | 18.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.05% | 49.94% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.63% | 16.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.01% | 45.99% |
Score Analysis |
Sturm Graz 36.2%
PSV Eindhoven 41.53%
Draw 22.27%
Sturm Graz | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 7.79% 1-0 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 4.36% 2-0 @ 4.31% 3-2 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.01% 4-3 @ 1% Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.2% | 1-1 @ 9.27% 2-2 @ 7.05% 0-0 @ 3.05% 3-3 @ 2.38% Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.27% | 1-2 @ 8.39% 0-1 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 5.06% 0-2 @ 5% 2-3 @ 4.25% 0-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 2.29% 2-4 @ 1.93% 0-4 @ 1.36% 3-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.63% Total : 41.53% |
How you voted: Sturm Graz vs PSV
Sturm Graz
21.3%Draw
12.3%PSV Eindhoven
66.5%155
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-03 05:01:03
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
England
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
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