Europa League | League Stage
Jan 23, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Tofiq Bahramov adina Respublika stadionu (Baki (Baku))
Qarabag2 - 3FCSB
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Qarabag FK 2-2 FCSB
A closely-fought, end-to-end contest could be on the cards on Thursday, and although FCSB may be considered as slight favourites, we are backing Qarabag to claim at least a share of the spoils on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 52.59%. A win for FCSB had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest FCSB win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qarabag FK | Draw | FCSB |
52.59% ( 0.01) | 23.2% ( -0) | 24.21% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.8% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.27% ( -0.01) | 43.73% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.88% ( -0.01) | 66.12% ( 0.01) |
| Qarabag FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% ( 0) | 16.63% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.53% ( 0) | 46.47% ( -0.01) |
| FCSB Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.14% ( -0.02) | 31.86% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.69% ( -0.02) | 68.3% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Qarabag FK 52.59%
FCSB 24.21%
Draw 23.19%
| Qarabag FK | Draw | FCSB |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.21% Total : 52.59% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.06% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 24.21% |
How you voted: Qarabag vs FCSB
Qarabag FK
52.7%Draw
16.5%FCSB
30.8%91
