Europa League | League Stage
Oct 24, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Tofiq Bahramov adina Respublika stadionu (Baki (Baku))
Qarabag0 - 3Ajax
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Heracles 3-4 Ajax
Sunday, October 20 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, October 20 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
We said: Qarabag FK 1-2 Ajax
Both teams have looked strong on the domestic front so far this season, but Ajax have fared better on the continent and they will be regarded as favourites to come out on top against Qarabag. The hosts have the firepower to cause Ajax problems in the final third, but we are backing the Dutch giants to outscore their opponents and secure their third successive win in all competitions. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 55.18%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 23.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.32%) and 0-1 (7.05%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Ajax |
23.73% ( -8.99) | 21.09% ( -1.91) | 55.18% ( 10.9) |
| Both teams to score 63.77% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
