MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 00:15:16| >> :120:16562:16562:
Europa League | League Stage
Nov 7, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion
Qarabag

Bodo/Glimt
1 - 2
Qarabag

Berg (41')
Berg (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bayramov (22'), Richard (69')
Medina (78'), Kochalski (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Bodo/Glimt and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Molde 3-3 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, November 3 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Qarabag 0-3 Ajax
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Bodo/Glimt 2-0 Qarabag FK

With 25 wins in their last 31 home games, Bodo/Glimt are near-invincible in the Arctic Circle in Europe, while Qarabag are often poor travellers and have made a very disappointing start to their continental campaign. One positive facet for the away side is that they are unbeaten in five previous meetings with Norwegian sides, and drew 2-2 with Molde on their last visit to the country a year ago, however this is a much tougher venue, and a win is needed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Bodo/GlimtDrawQarabag FK
51.53% (-1.247 -1.25) 21.69% (0.327 0.33) 26.78% (0.915 0.91)
Both teams to score 64.93% (-0.306 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.77% (-0.783 -0.78)34.22% (0.779 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.88% (-0.888 -0.89)56.11% (0.883 0.88)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.39% (-0.655 -0.66)13.6% (0.653 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.25% (-1.319 -1.32)40.74% (1.315 1.32)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15% (0.212 0.21)24.85% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.55% (0.298 0.3)59.44% (-0.302 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Bodo/Glimt 51.53%
    Qarabag FK 26.78%
    Draw 21.69%
Bodo/GlimtDrawQarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.74% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.73% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.47% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 4.34% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.098 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-3 @ 1% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 51.53%
1-1 @ 9.39% (0.208 0.21)
2-2 @ 6.52% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.38% (0.134 0.13)
3-3 @ 2.01% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.69%
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.184 0.18)
0-1 @ 4.71% (0.215 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.28% (0.169 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.03% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.087 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 26.78%

How you voted: Bodo/Glimt vs Qarabag

Bodo/Glimt
85.5%
Draw
11.4%
Qarabag FK
3.0%
166
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Browns
@
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1311112681834
2Arsenal1374226141225
3Chelsea1374226141225
4Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton136522217523
5Manchester CityMan City137242219323
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest136431613322
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1362528141420
8Brentford136252623320
9Manchester UnitedMan Utd135441713419
10Fulham135441818019
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle135441414019
12Aston Villa135441922-319
13Bournemouth135352019118
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham134361724-715
15Everton132561021-1111
16Leicester CityLeicester132471627-1110
17Crystal Palace131661118-79
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves132382232-109
19Ipswich TownIpswich131661324-119
20Southampton1312101025-155


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!