Real Sociedad5 - 2Midtjylland
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, February 16 at 8pm in La Liga
for
Sunday, February 16 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
for
We said: Real Sociedad 2-1 FC Midtjylland (Real Sociedad to win 4-2 on aggregate)
Real Sociedad's recent domestic form leaves little to be desired, but they have looked relatively strong in the Europa League and will be regarded as favourites to win Thursday's contest, even without the presence of key midfielder Zubimendi. Midtjylland will be keen to begin on the front foot and score an early goal in Spain, but they face a Real outfit who have scored six goals in the opening 45 minutes across their last four Europa League games, while only Galatasaray (13) and Lazio (11) have score more first-half goals than Alguacil's side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a FC Midtjylland win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
56.26% ( 0.03) | 22.75% ( -0.03) | 20.98% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.03% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
