Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Epet Arena
Sparta Prague4 - 1Galatasaray
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sparta Prague 2-1 Slovan Liberec
Sunday, February 18 at 5pm in Czech Liga
Sunday, February 18 at 5pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Ankaragucu 0-3 Galatasaray
Sunday, February 18 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Sunday, February 18 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
We said: Sparta Prague 2-2 Galatasaray (Galatasaray to win 5-4 on aggregate)
Having found the net twice against Galatasaray last week, Sparta Prague will fancy their chances here. However, we think the visitors will do enough not to lose this match and eventually go through on aggregate. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sparta Prague | Draw | Galatasaray |
25.05% ( -0.36) | 23.44% ( -0.03) | 51.51% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 56.92% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.99% ( -0.21) | 44.01% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.61% ( -0.2) | 66.39% ( 0.2) |
Sparta Prague Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.68% ( -0.4) | 31.32% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.32% ( -0.47) | 67.68% ( 0.47) |
Galatasaray Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.87% ( 0.06) | 17.13% ( -0.07) |