MX23RW : Wednesday, January 8 23:40:07| >> :600:7532481:7532481:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Albania national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Air Albania Stadium
Poland national football team

Albania
2 - 0
Poland

Asani (37'), Daku (62')
Cikalleshi (45+1'), Asllani (45+8'), Strakosha (59'), Veseli (65'), Daku (63'), Muja (75'), Sulejmanov (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bednarek (8'), Bereszynski (45+8'), Kaminski (45+7'), Krychowiak (60'), Kedziora (79'), Wieteska (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Albania and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albania

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Czech Republic 1-1 Albania
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Poland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Poland 2-0 Faroe Islands
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Albania 1-2 Poland

 Poland can do the double over their fellow Eagles, as their superior firepower should separate the sides on Sunday. After some bumps in the road, many pundits' group favourites are bound to get back on track for a trip to Germany next summer - though the hosts will not make life easy amid a febrile atmosphere in Tirana. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Poland had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albania would win this match.

Result
AlbaniaDrawPoland
53.09% (-4.656 -4.66) 25.87% (1.579 1.58) 21.04% (3.081 3.08)
Both teams to score 44.92% (0.294 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.47% (-2.087 -2.09)57.53% (2.092 2.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.68% (-1.682 -1.68)78.32% (1.688 1.69)
Albania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24% (-2.691 -2.69)21.76% (2.696 2.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.05% (-4.282 -4.28)54.95% (4.288 4.29)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.41% (2.275 2.28)42.59% (-2.271 -2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.06% (1.882 1.88)78.94% (-1.877 -1.88)
Score Analysis
    Albania 53.08%
    Poland 21.04%
    Draw 25.87%
AlbaniaDrawPoland
1-0 @ 14.13% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.77% (-0.97 -0.97)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-1.01 -1.01)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.525 -0.53)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.6 -0.6)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.372 -0.37)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 53.08%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.7 0.7)
0-0 @ 9.27% (0.715 0.72)
2-2 @ 3.93% (0.152 0.15)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 7.91% (1.055 1.06)
1-2 @ 5.15% (0.595 0.6)
0-2 @ 3.38% (0.628 0.63)
1-3 @ 1.47% (0.248 0.25)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.227 0.23)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 21.04%

How you voted: Albania vs Poland

Albania
22.1%
Draw
16.0%
Poland
61.8%
131
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Poland
1-0
Albania
Swiderski (41')
> Preview
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Albania
0-1
Poland

Ismajli (34'), Hysaj (49'), Reja (65'), Ramadani (88')
Swiderski (77')
Buksa (39'), Bednarek (50'), Puchacz (90')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Poland
4-1
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Swiderski (82'), Bednarek (86')
Cikalleshi (25')
Abrashi (4'), Bare (7'), Hysaj (11'), Gjasula (54'), Manaj (65')
> Preview
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