Friendlies 1
Jun 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Narodowy
Poland1 - 0Germany
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Poland and Germany, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Friday's international friendly with Poland.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Poland 1-0 Albania
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Poland | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Moldova | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Faroe Islands | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Albania | 1 | -1 | 0 |
We said: Poland 1-2 Germany
There will undoubtedly be a few teething problems along the way as Germany become accustomed to their new shape, but defending has been an issue for Die Mannschaft for a while now, and a striker as lethal as Lewandowski will no doubt make Flick's side pay. The visitors can call upon their attacking talent in reserve to save the day, though, and with Poland also finding their feet under Santos, we expect Flick's side to get back on track in Warsaw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 61.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Poland had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.17%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Poland win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Poland | Draw | Germany |
16.74% ( -0.29) | 21.65% ( 0.02) | 61.6% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 50.02% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
