MX23RW : Friday, June 28 19:40:55| >> :60:303:303:
Poland national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Narodowy
Germany national football team

Poland
1 - 0
Germany

Kiwior (31')
Szymanski (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thiaw (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Poland and Germany, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Friday's international friendly with Poland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions
Last Game: Poland 1-0 Albania
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Germany

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 3-3 Ukraine
Monday, June 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Poland 1-2 Germany

 There will undoubtedly be a few teething problems along the way as Germany become accustomed to their new shape, but defending has been an issue for Die Mannschaft for a while now, and a striker as lethal as Lewandowski will no doubt make Flick's side pay. The visitors can call upon their attacking talent in reserve to save the day, though, and with Poland also finding their feet under Santos, we expect Flick's side to get back on track in Warsaw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 61.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Poland had a probability of 16.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.17%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Poland win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
PolandDrawGermany
16.74% (-0.292 -0.29) 21.65% (0.023 0.02) 61.6% (0.273 0.27)
Both teams to score 50.02% (-0.676 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.03% (-0.593 -0.59)46.97% (0.59800000000001 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.79% (-0.557 -0.56)69.21% (0.56100000000001 0.56)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.66% (-0.717 -0.72)41.34% (0.721 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.14% (-0.638 -0.64)77.86% (0.642 0.64)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.28% (-0.107 -0.11)14.72% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.07% (-0.211 -0.21)42.93% (0.215 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Poland 16.74%
    Germany 61.6%
    Draw 21.65%
PolandDrawGermany
1-0 @ 5.38% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 4.55% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 2.37% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.34% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 16.74%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.65%
0-1 @ 11.66% (0.25 0.25)
0-2 @ 11.17% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 7.13% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 6.3% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.42% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.02% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.31% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 61.6%

How you voted: Poland vs Germany

Poland
52.1%
Draw
15.5%
Germany
32.4%
71
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2016 8pm
Group Stage
Germany
0-0
Poland
Khedira (3'), Ozil (34'), Boateng (67')
Maczynski (45'), Grosicki (55'), Peszko (93')
> Match Report
Sep 4, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Germany
3-1
Poland
> Match Report
Oct 11, 2014 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Poland
2-0
Germany
Milik (51'), Mila (88')
Szukala (20'), Lewandowski (56'), Piszczek (93')

Boateng (24'), Bellarabi (86')
> Match Report
May 13, 2014 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Germany
0-0
Poland
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
> Preview
 
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
> Preview
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
 
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
 
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
 
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 1
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 2
Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 3
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 4
Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Final
Winner SF1
vs.
Winner SF2
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
> European Championship 2024 overview


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