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World Cup header WWW

World Cup
France national football team
World Cup | Last 16
Dec 4, 2022 at 3pm UK
Al Thumama Stadium
Poland national football team

France
3 - 1
Poland

Giroud (44'), Mbappe (74', 90+1')
Tchouameni (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lewandowski (90+9' pen.)
Bereszynski (47'), Cash (88')

The Match

Match Report

Olivier Giroud and Kylian Mbappe score the goals as France beat Poland 3-1 to advance to the quarter-finals of the 2022 World Cup.

Team News

Poland manager Czeslaw Michniewicz makes two changes to his starting lineup for their World Cup 2022 last-16 clash against holders France.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup clash between France and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Poland could line up for Sunday's World Cup 2022 last-16 clash with France.

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Tunisia 1-0 France
Wednesday, November 30 at 3pm in World Cup

Poland

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Poland 0-2 Argentina
Wednesday, November 30 at 7pm in World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 71.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Poland had a probability of 10.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.04%) and 3-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
FranceDrawPoland
71.7% (-0.136 -0.14) 17.49% (0.077999999999999 0.08) 10.8% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 47.43% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.19% (-0.209 -0.21)41.81% (0.205 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.79% (-0.21 -0.21)64.21% (0.206 0.21)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.66% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)10.33% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.21% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)33.78% (0.19799999999999 0.2)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.9% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)47.1% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.44% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)82.56% (0.02300000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    France 71.69%
    Poland 10.8%
    Draw 17.49%
FranceDrawPoland
2-0 @ 12.53% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.04% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 9.49% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.05% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 71.69%
1-1 @ 8.32% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.55%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 17.49%
0-1 @ 3.66% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.13% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.38% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 10.8%

How you voted: France vs Poland

France
79.6%
Poland
20.4%
451
Build-up
France players celebrate Kylian Mbappe's goal against Denmark on November 26, 2022
France vs. Poland: How do both squads compare ahead of World Cup clash?
Sports Mole looks at how the squads of France and Poland compare ahead of Sunday's World Cup clash between the two sides.
Dec 3, 23:47
 Poland's Wojciech Szczesny saves a penalty from Argentina's Lionel Messi at the World Cup on November 30, 2022
World Cup 2022: Reasons for Poland to be confident of beating France in last 16
Ahead of Poland's last-16 World Cup clash with France, Sports Mole looks at some reasons for the White-Reds to be confident of progressing to the final eight.
Dec 3, 17:41
 Kylian Mbappe celebrates scoring for France on November 26, 2022
World Cup 2022: Reasons for France to be confident of beating Poland in last 16
Ahead of France's last-16 World Cup clash with Poland, Sports Mole looks at some reasons for the reigning champions to be confident of progressing to the final eight.
Dec 3, 17:12
 France players celebrate Kylian Mbappe's goal against Denmark on November 26, 2022
France vs. Poland: Why to expect a victory for the world champions on Sunday
Ahead of France's last-16 World Cup clash with Poland, Sports Mole looks at the reasons to expect a victory for the reigning world champions.
Dec 3, 16:43
 France's Olivier Giroud celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on November 21, 2022
World Cup 2022: France vs. Poland head-to-head record
Ahead of Sunday's World Cup clash between France and Poland, Sports Mole looks at the head-to-head record between the two sides.
Dec 3, 01:59
 Theo Hernandez in action for AC Milan on August 27, 2022
France handed Theo Hernandez injury concern ahead of Poland clash
Theo Hernandez is a fitness concern for France ahead of their last-16 tie against Poland after the left-back reportedly missed training on Friday.
Dec 3, 00:18
 Poland's Robert Lewandowski celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on November 26, 2022
How Poland could line up against France
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Poland could line up for Sunday's World Cup 2022 last-16 clash with France.
Dec 2, 18:57
 France players celebrate Kylian Mbappe's goal against Denmark on November 26, 2022
How France could line up against Poland
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Sunday's World Cup 2022 last-16 clash with Poland.
Dec 2, 18:56
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
 
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
 
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
 
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
 
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 1
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 2
Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 3
vs.
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Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Final
Winner SF1
vs.
Winner SF2
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania41215
Q Slovakia Slovakia41215
Q Belgium Belgium31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
> European Championship 2024 overview


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