Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 28, 2023 at 5pm UK

Georgia
1 - 1
Norway

Mikautadze (60')
Azarovi (53'), Aburjania (72'), Gocholeishvili (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sorloth (15')
Solbakken (79'), Meling (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Georgia and Norway, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Georgia

All competitions

Last Game: Georgia 6-1 Mongolia
Saturday, March 25 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	1	3	3
2	Spain	1	3	3
3	Georgia	0	0	0
4	Cyprus	1	-3	0
5	Norway	1	-3	0

Norway

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Spain 3-0 Norway
Saturday, March 25 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	1	3	3
2	Spain	1	3	3
3	Georgia	0	0	0
4	Cyprus	1	-3	0
5	Norway	1	-3	0

While the vast majority of Georgia's victories in 2022 came against teams that they would have expected to beat, Sagnol's side should feel confident of getting their Euro 2024 qualifying bid off to a respectable start. Norway held their own for long periods of their clash with Spain and were unlucky not to have breached the Roja backline, so we can picture a tightly-fought score draw on the Batumi turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Norway had a probability of 21.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Norway win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Georgia	Draw	Norway
52.86% ( -5.05)	25.82% ( 1.59)	21.32% ( 3.47)

Both teams to score 45.4% (

0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.92% (

-1.71)

57.08% (

1.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.04% (

-1.38)

77.96% (

1.39)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.33% (

-2.69)

21.67% (

2.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.19% (

-4.3)

54.81% (

4.3)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.96% (

2.92)

42.03% (

-2.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.53% (

2.43)

78.46% (

-2.43)

Score Analysis

Georgia 52.86%

Norway 21.32%

Draw 25.82%

Georgia	Draw	Norway
1-0 @ 13.93% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( -1.13) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( -1.1) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.51) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.64) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.37) Other @ 3% Total : 52.86%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.74) 0-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 4% ( 0.23) Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 7.9% ( 1.08) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.7) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.69) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.26) Other @ 1.11% Total : 21.32%