UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Jun 12, 2022 at 5pm UK

Norway
3 - 2
Sweden

Braut Haaland (10', 54' pen.), Sorloth (77')
Odegaard (40'), Skiri Oestigaard (56'), Berge (64'), Holmgren Pedersen (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Forsberg (62'), Gyokeres (90+5')
Kulusevski (8'), Krafth (56'), Gudmundsson (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Norway and Sweden, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

Last Six:

Last Game: Norway 0-0 Slovenia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Sweden

Last Six:

Last Game: Sweden 0-1 Serbia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

While Sweden have talented attacking options who could cause problems for Norway in the final third, we feel that Haaland and co will have plenty of joy against the visitors' weakened backline. Andersson's men cannot really afford to lose on Sunday if they are to keep the promotion hopes alive, but considering the form and firepower that Norway possess, a home victory could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result
Norway	Draw	Sweden
47.86% ( -0.06)	22.92% ( 0.01)	29.22% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 62.45% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.67%

38.33% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.38% (

-0)

60.61% (

0.01)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.65% (

-0.02)

16.35% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.05% (

-0.04)

45.95% (

0.05)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66% (

0.04)

25.34% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.87% (

0.05)

60.13% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Norway 47.86%

Sweden 29.22%

Draw 22.91%

Norway	Draw	Sweden
2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.5% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.56% Total : 47.86%	1-1 @ 10.29% 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.91%	1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.22%