While Sweden have talented attacking options who could cause problems for Norway in the final third, we feel that Haaland and co will have plenty of joy against the visitors' weakened backline.
Andersson's men cannot really afford to lose on Sunday if they are to keep the promotion hopes alive, but considering the form and firepower that Norway possess, a home victory could be on the cards.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.
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