MX23RW : Friday, November 8 07:03:31| >> :600:2202285:2202285:
Spain national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Norway national football team

Spain
3 - 0
Norway

Olmo (13'), Joselu (83', 85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Odegaard (41'), Sorloth (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Spain and Norway, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Spain could line up in Saturday's Euro 2024 qualification fixture with Norway.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Morocco 0-0 Spain (3-0 pen.)
Tuesday, December 6 at 3pm in World Cup
All competitions
Last Game: Norway 1-1 Finland
Sunday, November 20 at 1pm in International Friendlies

We said: Spain 1-0 Norway

This has the potential to be a very tricky match for Spain, as Norway have a lot of talent in their ranks. The absence of Haaland is a huge boost for the home team, though, and we are backing La Roja to navigate their way to an important three points in their section opener. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 64.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Norway had a probability of 13.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.96%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Norway win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
SpainDrawNorway
64.63%21.5%13.87%
Both teams to score 43.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45%51.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.65%73.34%
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73%15.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.04%43.96%
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.91%48.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.7%83.29%
Score Analysis
    Spain 64.62%
    Norway 13.87%
    Draw 21.5%
SpainDrawNorway
1-0 @ 13.79%
2-0 @ 12.96%
2-1 @ 9.49%
3-0 @ 8.12%
3-1 @ 5.95%
4-0 @ 3.82%
4-1 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.18%
5-0 @ 1.44%
5-1 @ 1.05%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2%
Total : 64.62%
1-1 @ 10.1%
0-0 @ 7.34%
2-2 @ 3.48%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.5%
0-1 @ 5.38%
1-2 @ 3.7%
0-2 @ 1.97%
1-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 13.87%

How you voted: Spain vs Norway

Spain
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Norway
14.3%
210
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2019 7.45pm
Mar 23, 2019 7.45pm
Jun 15, 2013 4.30pm
rhs 2.0
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