MX23RW : Monday, November 18 02:30:28| >> :600:3049902:3049902:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Gibraltar national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Victoria Stadium
Republic of Ireland national football team

Gibraltar
0 - 4
Rep. Ireland


Annesley (53'), Sergeant (84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ferguson (8'), Johnston (28'), Doherty (60'), Robinson (80')
Doherty (72'), McGrath (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Gibraltar and Republic of Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gibraltar

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Wales 4-0 Gibraltar
Wednesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-2 Greece
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Gibraltar 0-2 Republic of Ireland

 With the added disadvantage of not playing at their regular headquarters, a sixth defeat from six is surely on the cards for Gibraltar, whose unsightly goalless streak is also set to continue at the Estadio Algarve. Confidence is hardly high in the Irish camp either, and calls for Kenny to be given the boot will only grow louder if Gibraltar can pull off a sensational giant killing, but the Boys in Green should get the job done with minimal fuss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 81.43%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 5.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.4%) and 0-1 (13.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Republic of Ireland would win this match.

Result
GibraltarDrawRepublic of Ireland
5.1% (0.1379 0.14) 13.46% (0.08 0.08) 81.43% (-0.221 -0.22)
Both teams to score 33.59% (0.633 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.75% (0.287 0.29)44.24% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.38% (0.279 0.28)66.62% (-0.28099999999999 -0.28)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.74% (0.687 0.69)63.26% (-0.689 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.77% (0.309 0.31)92.23% (-0.312 -0.31)
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.43% (0.012 0.01)8.57% (-0.0151 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.38% (0.033999999999992 0.03)29.62% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Gibraltar 5.11%
    Republic of Ireland 81.42%
    Draw 13.46%
GibraltarDrawRepublic of Ireland
1-0 @ 2.48% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 1.4% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 5.11%
1-1 @ 6.1% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 1.72% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 13.46%
0-2 @ 16.36% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-3 @ 13.4% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-1 @ 13.31% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-4 @ 8.23% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.49% (0.095 0.09)
1-3 @ 6.14% (0.082 0.08)
0-5 @ 4.05% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 3.77% (0.053 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.85% (0.028 0.03)
0-6 @ 1.66% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 81.42%

How you voted: Gibraltar vs Rep. Ireland

Gibraltar
24.0%
Draw
10.0%
Republic of Ireland
66.0%
50
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Rep. Ireland
3-0
Gibraltar
Johnston (52'), Ferguson (59'), Idah (90+2')

Sergeant (36'), Jolley (70')
> Preview
Jun 10, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Rep. Ireland
2-0
Gibraltar
Chipolina (29' og.), Brady (93')
Stevens (68')

Olivero (25')
> Match Report
Mar 23, 2019 5pm
Group Stage
Gibraltar
0-1
Rep. Ireland

Casciaro (41'), De Barr (90')
Hendrick (49')
McClean (45'), Stevens (67')
> Match Report
Sep 4, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Gibraltar
0-4
Rep. Ireland
> Match Report
Oct 11, 2014 5pm
Qualifiers
Rep. Ireland
7-0
Gibraltar
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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