It would take a bold punter to back against France on Friday considering the significant gulf in quality between the two nations. Just a draw for Gibraltar would go down as one of the greatest results in their history, but we expect Les Bleus to come away with a comprehensive victory and extend their lead at the top of Group B. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 89.33%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 2.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (15.88%) and 0-4 (11.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.69%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (1.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
Gibraltar	Draw	France
2.32% ( 0.01)	8.35% ( 0.02)	89.33% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 27.62% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.53% (

-0.04)

35.46% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.49% (

-0.04)

57.51% (

0.04)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

29.1% (

0.02)

70.9% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

4.72% (

0.01)

95.28% (

-0.01)

France Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.92% (

-0.01)

5.08% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.78% (

-0.03)

20.21% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Gibraltar 2.32%

France 89.32%

Draw 8.35%

Gibraltar	Draw	France
1-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 1.08% Total : 2.32%	1-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 8.35%	0-2 @ 15.99% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 15.88% 0-4 @ 11.83% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.46% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.07% ( -0) 0-6 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.43% ( -0) 0-7 @ 1.49% ( -0) 1-6 @ 1.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 89.32%