MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 19:53:40| >> :600:680446:680446:
Greece national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
Republic of Ireland national football team

Greece
2 - 1
Rep. Ireland

Bakasetas (15' pen.), Masouras (49')
Mantalos (35'), Pelkas (65'), Bakasetas (76'), Tzavellas (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Collins (27')
McClean (76'), Egan (88')
Doherty (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Greece and Republic of Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Greece 0-0 Lithuania
Monday, March 27 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-1 France
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Greece 2-1 Republic of Ireland

Stephen Kenny has urged his Republic of Ireland side to claim a 'historic away victory' on Friday, but coming out on top against a Greece side who boast an impressive home record could prove challenging. A tight affair could be on the cards in Athens, but we believe that the hosts will do enough to claim maximum points and maintain their prefect start in Group B. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 16.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Greece in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Greece.

Result
GreeceDrawRepublic of Ireland
58.71% (-1.598 -1.6) 24.94% (0.256 0.26) 16.35% (1.343 1.34)
Both teams to score 40.22% (1.864 1.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.26% (1.004 1)59.74% (-1.004 -1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.96% (0.76 0.76)80.04% (-0.76000000000001 -0.76)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)20.36% (0.227 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.23% (-0.361 -0.36)52.77% (0.361 0.36)
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.51% (2.479 2.48)49.49% (-2.479 -2.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.7% (1.683 1.68)84.3% (-1.684 -1.68)
Score Analysis
    Greece 58.71%
    Republic of Ireland 16.35%
    Draw 24.93%
GreeceDrawRepublic of Ireland
1-0 @ 16.03% (-0.74 -0.74)
2-0 @ 12.76% (-0.67 -0.67)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.181 0.18)
3-0 @ 6.77% (-0.409 -0.41)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.063 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.183 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.9% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.68% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 58.71%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.31 0.31)
0-0 @ 10.07% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-2 @ 3.16% (0.278 0.28)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.239 0.24)
1-2 @ 3.97% (0.376 0.38)
0-2 @ 2.49% (0.252 0.25)
1-3 @ 0.93% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 16.35%

How you voted: Greece vs Rep. Ireland

Greece
68.7%
Draw
17.2%
Republic of Ireland
14.1%
99
Head to Head
Nov 14, 2012 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Rep. Ireland
0-1
Greece
rhs 2.0
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