We said: Romania 2-1 Kosovo
It is unlikely to be easy for Romania, but the Tricolorii should just get the better of tricky opposition to maintain their spot in Group I's top two.
Kosovo have just struggled to get over the line and claim victories against supposed superior opposition in this group, and they could come up just short again.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Kosovo had a probability of 22.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Kosovo win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.