International Friendly

Nov 20, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

Stadionul Zimbru

Moldova
0 - 5
Romania

Motpan (24')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Morutan (9'), Dragus (40'), Cicaldau (60'), Paraschiv (71' pen.), Rus (88')
Olaru (26')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's International Friendlies clash between Moldova and Romania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Moldova 1-2 Azerbaijan
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Andorra	0	0	0
3	Latvia	0	0	0
4	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Romania

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Romania 1-2 Slovenia
Thursday, November 17 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

Romania's vastly superior record in this fixture means that it is hard to envisage any other result than an away victory. While the visitors have been largely underwhelming on the road of late, we are tipping them to carry the day in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Moldova win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.

Result
Moldova	Draw	Romania
30.8% ( -6.56)	25.37% ( -1.46)	43.83% ( 8.02)

Both teams to score 54.86% (

3.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.28% (

4.97)

48.72% (

-4.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.17% (

4.35)

70.83% (

-4.35)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.5% (

-1.69)

29.5% (

1.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.49% (

-2.12)

65.51% (

2.12)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.81% (

6.54)

22.19% (

-6.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.4% (

8.97)

55.59% (

-8.97)

Score Analysis

Moldova 30.8%

Romania 43.83%

Draw 25.37%

Moldova	Draw	Romania
1-0 @ 7.99% ( -2.23) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.82) 2-0 @ 4.88% ( -1.67) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.49) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.81) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.8%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.72) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -1.44) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.44) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.23) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.37%	0-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 1.1) 0-2 @ 7.42% ( 1.21) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 1.24) 0-3 @ 3.72% ( 1.14) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.66) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.68) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.6) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.38) Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.83%