Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri

Kosovo
0 - 0
Romania

Dresevic (49'), Kryeziu (85')

Puscas (81')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Kosovo and Romania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kosovo

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Kosovo 1-1 Andorra
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	2	8	6
2	Romania	2	3	6
3	Kosovo	2	0	2
4	Andorra	2	-2	1
5	Israel	2	-3	1
6	Belarus	2	-6	0

Romania

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Romania 2-1 Belarus
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	2	8	6
2	Romania	2	3	6
3	Kosovo	2	0	2
4	Andorra	2	-2	1
5	Israel	2	-3	1
6	Belarus	2	-6	0

Romania will be bidding to move onto nine points in the section, but Kosovo are more than capable of picking up a positive result here. The home side have drawn each of their last four matches, including their first two in the section, and we can see another stalemate taking place here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Romania had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Kosovo	Draw	Romania
37.17% ( 0.97)	28.03% ( 0.17)	34.81% ( -1.13)

Both teams to score 47.66% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.6% (

-0.67)

58.41% (

0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21% (

-0.52)

79.01% (

0.53)

Kosovo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.79% (

0.27)

30.22% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.62% (

0.32)

66.38% (

-0.31)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.29% (

-1.06)

31.71% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.87% (

-1.24)

68.13% (

1.25)

Score Analysis

Kosovo 37.16%

Romania 34.8%

Draw 28.03%

Kosovo	Draw	Romania
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 37.16%	1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.03%	0-1 @ 11% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.8%