Euro 2024

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 15, 2024 at 2pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

Hungary
1 - 3
Switzerland

Varga (66')
Szalai (69'), Bolla (88')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Duah (12'), Aebischer (45'), Embolo (90+3')
Widmer (5'), Freuler (59'), Yakin (88')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungary

All competitions

Last Game: Hungary 3-0 Israel
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Germany	1	4	3
2	Hungary	0	0	0
3	Switzerland	0	0	0
4	Scotland	1	-4	0

Switzerland

All competitions

Last Game: Switzerland 1-1 Austria
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Germany	1	4	3
2	Hungary	0	0	0
3	Switzerland	0	0	0
4	Scotland	1	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Hungary win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.

Result
Hungary	Draw	Switzerland
28.31% ( 0.29)	26.05% ( 0.09)	45.64% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 51.31% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.32% (

-0.21)

52.68% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.68% (

-0.18)

74.32% (

0.18)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.66% (

0.11)

33.34% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.04% (

0.12)

69.96% (

-0.12)

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.97% (

-0.27)

23.03% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.15% (

-0.39)

56.85% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Hungary 28.31%

Switzerland 45.63%

Draw 26.04%

Hungary	Draw	Switzerland
1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.31%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 45.63%