Friendlies 1

Mar 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Puskas Arena (Budapest)

Hungary
1 - 0
Turkey

Szoboszlai (48' pen.)
Nagy (86'), Kleinheisler (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Akaydin (57')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Hungary and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungary

All competitions

Last Game: Hungary 3-1 Montenegro
Sunday, November 19 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	8	9	18
2	Serbia	8	6	14
3	Montenegro	8	-2	11
4	Lithuania	8	-6	6
5	Bulgaria	8	-7	4

Turkey

All competitions

Last Game: Wales 1-1 Turkey
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	8	7	17
2	Croatia	8	9	16
3	Wales	8	0	12
4	Armenia	8	-2	8
5	Latvia	8	-14	3

Both nations enter Friday's friendly in buoyant mood and in strong form, while they have also had few problems making the net ripple, so an entertaining contest could be in store, albeit depending on the lineups that the two teams select. Hungary have impressed on home soil during a period when Turkey have looked strong on the road, and considering there is little to separate these two nations, a score draw may be on the cards in Budapest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Turkey win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hungary in this match.

Result
Hungary	Draw	Turkey
45.57% ( -0.14)	25.96% ( 0.07)	28.48% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 51.7% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.77% (

-0.25)

52.23% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.07% (

-0.22)

73.93% (

0.22)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.13% (

-0.17)

22.87% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.39% (

-0.26)

56.61% (

0.26)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.03% (

-0.08)

32.97% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.44% (

-0.08)

69.56% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Hungary 45.56%

Turkey 28.48%

Draw 25.95%

Hungary	Draw	Turkey
1-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 45.56%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 28.48%