We said: Switzerland 2-0 Estonia
Switzerland are heavy favourites to triumph on Tuesday evening, and we are expecting the home side to secure the victory, but Estonia are capable of making it a tricky affair, which is what Switzerland will want as part of their preparations for the European Championship.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 86.38%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 3.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.12%) and 1-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.68%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (1.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.