Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
