MX23RW : Friday, January 17 05:48:09| >> :120:48769:48769:
Bournemouth logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
Vitality Stadium
West Brom logo

Bournemouth
5 - 1
West Brom

Kluivert (27'), Ouattara (34', 44'), Semenyo (47'), Jebbison (90+2')
Semenyo (60')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Taylor (14')
Holgate (18'), Taylor (45+1'), Furlong (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Bournemouth and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Everton
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Bournemouth 2-0 West Bromwich Albion

With a raft of first-team players sidelined due to injury, Bournemouth are unlikely to cruise to third-round progression at the Vitality, especially if Iraola opts to rotate his XI. West Brom have continued to be solid without Corberan barking orders from the touchline, although we feel that their Premier League opponents will be too strong on the South Coast. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawWest Bromwich Albion
42.18% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 25.52% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 32.3% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.01% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.19% (0.077999999999996 0.08)48.8% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.09% (0.07 0.07)70.9% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (0.025000000000006 0.03)23.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18% (0.039000000000001 0.04)56.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45% (0.057999999999993 0.06)28.55% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.66% (0.073999999999998 0.07)64.33% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 42.18%
    West Bromwich Albion 32.3%
    Draw 25.51%
BournemouthDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 42.18%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 32.3%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs West Brom

Bournemouth
88.7%
West Bromwich Albion
11.3%
53
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 30
West Brom
2-0
Bournemouth
Mowatt (8'), Carroll (12')
Furlong (56'), Bartley (83'), Johnstone (84')

Zemura (45+2'), Kelly (52'), Solanke (83')
Aug 6, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Bournemouth
2-2
West Brom
Marcondes (12'), Billing (52')
Mepham (20')
O'Shea (33'), Robinson (67')
Bartley (60'), Mowatt (80'), Livermore (86')
Jul 26, 2019 8pm
Pre-season Friendlies
West Brom
0-0
Bournemouth
Mar 17, 2018 3pm
Aug 12, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!