FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands
Buxton2 - 2Barwell
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hill (41')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Buxton and Barwell.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Buxton 2-0 Rushall Olympic
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Barwell 3-0 Kidsgrove Athletic
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 69.77%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Barwell had a probability of 12.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Barwell win it was 0-1 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Barwell |
69.77% ( 0.56) | 17.97% ( -0.24) | 12.26% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 50.73% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.95% ( 0.29) | 40.05% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.58% ( 0.3) | 62.42% ( -0.3) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.66% ( 0.22) | 10.34% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.19% ( 0.49) | 33.81% ( -0.49) |
| Barwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.58% ( -0.32) | 43.42% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.36% ( -0.27) | 79.64% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
Buxton 69.76%
Barwell 12.26%
Draw 17.97%
| Buxton | Draw | Barwell |
| 2-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.36% Total : 69.76% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.95% Total : 17.97% | 0-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.3% Total : 12.26% |
