Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chasetown win with a probability of 62.03%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Ashby Ivanhoe had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chasetown win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 3-1 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for an Ashby Ivanhoe win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
