MX23RW : Thursday, January 2 23:19:31| >> :600:475035:475035:
Crystal Palace logo
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Mar 1, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Selhurst Park
Stoke logo

Crystal Palace
2 - 1
Stoke

Kouyate (53'), Riedewald (82')
Schlupp (84'), Gallagher (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tymon (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Crystal Palace and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Crystal Palace 2-1 Stoke City

Stoke are more than capable of beating Palace, and we are expecting a close match at Selhurst Park. The Eagles will have a lot of quality in their XI even if Vieira makes a number of changes, though, and we are finding it difficult to back against the home side when it comes to progressing to the final eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crystal Palace in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Crystal Palace.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawStoke City
47.81%24.87%27.31%
Both teams to score 54.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.52%48.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.39%70.6%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.68%20.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.3%52.69%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.1%31.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.65%68.35%
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 47.8%
    Stoke City 27.31%
    Draw 24.87%
Crystal PalaceDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 9.4%
2-0 @ 8.23%
3-1 @ 5%
3-0 @ 4.37%
3-2 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.74%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 47.8%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.48%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.87%
0-1 @ 7.41%
1-2 @ 6.74%
0-2 @ 4.23%
1-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 27.31%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Stoke

Crystal Palace
78.8%
Draw
13.9%
Stoke City
7.3%
137
Head to Head
May 5, 2018 12.30pm
Stoke
1-2
Crystal Palace
Shaqiri (43')
Bauer (63'), Johnson (64'), Ndiaye (81'), Pieters (85'), Shaqiri (89')
McArthur (68'), Van Aanholt (86')
Milivojevic (54'), Tomkins (64')
Nov 25, 2017 3pm
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Sep 18, 2016 2.15pm
May 7, 2016 3pm
Crystal Palace
2-1
Stoke
Gayle (47', 68')
McArthur (33'), Souare (91')
Adam (27')
Whelan (3'), Pieters (21'), Ireland (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Arsenal19116238172139
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford197393335-224
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
20Southampton1913151239-276


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!