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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
bet365 Stadium
Birmingham logo

Stoke
2 - 2
Birmingham

Campbell (25', 52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
James (12'), Gardner (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Birmingham City

Birmingham head into this contest under far less pressure than their hosts, and that could show in their performance. Nevertheless, we feel that the home side should have enough quality to edge this contest by the odd goal in three, potentially with a goal during the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 17.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
58.95%23.52%17.53%
Both teams to score 46.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.83%53.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.26%74.74%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23%17.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.52%48.48%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.95%44.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.84%80.16%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 58.94%
    Birmingham City 17.53%
    Draw 23.51%
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 13.52%
2-0 @ 11.68%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 6.73%
3-1 @ 5.52%
4-0 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.26%
5-0 @ 1%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 58.94%
1-1 @ 11.08%
0-0 @ 7.83%
2-2 @ 3.93%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.51%
0-1 @ 6.42%
1-2 @ 4.55%
0-2 @ 2.63%
1-3 @ 1.24%
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 17.53%

How you voted: Stoke vs Birmingham

Stoke City
70.0%
Draw
15.0%
Birmingham City
15.0%
20
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Birmingham
0-0
Stoke
Hogan (49')
Clucas (57'), Powell (67')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Birmingham
2-0
Stoke
Jutkiewicz (42', 53')
Gardner (85')

Fletcher (45')
Oct 4, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Stoke
1-1
Birmingham
Powell (86')
Chester (56'), Fox (83'), Clucas (85')
Dean (65')
Clayton (87')
Jul 12, 2020 1.30pm
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 6
Birmingham
2-1
Stoke
Jutkiewicz (73'), Bellingham (76')
Crowley (78'), Gardner (94')
Lindsay (58')
McClean (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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