FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mill Farm Stadium
Fylde1 - 4Rochdale
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Fylde and Rochdale.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fylde 5-2 Aldershot
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-2 Rochdale
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Goals
for
for
22
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Fylde win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Rochdale |
30.21% ( 0.05) | 23.57% ( 0.06) | 46.21% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 60.73% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.12% ( -0.27) | 40.88% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.73% ( -0.28) | 63.26% ( 0.28) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( -0.1) | 25.98% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39% ( -0.14) | 60.99% ( 0.14) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.04% ( -0.15) | 17.96% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.2% ( -0.26) | 48.79% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
Fylde 30.21%
Rochdale 46.21%
Draw 23.57%
| Fylde | Draw | Rochdale |
| 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.21% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.73% Total : 46.21% |
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
