Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Rochdale |
34.25% ( -4.46) | 26.17% ( -1.02) | 39.57% ( 5.47) |
Both teams to score 53.41% ( 3.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.89% ( 4.16) | 51.1% ( -4.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.04% ( 3.53) | 72.96% ( -3.53) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.56% ( -0.66) | 28.43% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.81% ( -0.83) | 64.19% ( 0.83) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.63% ( 5.22) | 25.36% ( -5.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.84% ( 6.65) | 60.16% ( -6.66) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 9.07% ( -1.81) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.43) 2-0 @ 5.7% ( -1.27) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.59) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.25% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.45) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -1.28) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.48) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.9) 0-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.82) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.89) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.75) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.52) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.45) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.37) Other @ 2.5% Total : 39.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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