Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Fylde win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fylde | Draw | Southend United |
30.62% ( 0.7) | 24.5% ( 0.1) | 44.88% ( -0.8) |
Both teams to score 57.7% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.04% ( -0.11) | 44.96% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.68% ( -0.11) | 67.32% ( 0.11) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.25% ( 0.41) | 27.75% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.68% ( 0.53) | 63.32% ( -0.52) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.85% ( -0.39) | 20.15% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.57% ( -0.63) | 52.43% ( 0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Fylde | Draw | Southend United |
2-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.62% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 44.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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