Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.75%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.