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FA Cup
FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Sep 1, 2024 at 2pm UK
Wellesley Recreation Ground

Great Yarmouth Town
1 - 2
Cheshunt

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Great Yarmouth Town and Cheshunt.

Form, Standings, Stats

Great Yarmouth Town

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Last Game: Great Yarmouth Town 2-1 Cambridge City
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Cheshunt

All competitions
Last Game: Cheshunt 2-1 Leyton Orient
Monday, August 5 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheshunt win with a probability of 59.67%. A win for Great Yarmouth Town had a probability of 20.53% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheshunt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.61%) and 1-3 (7.14%). The likeliest Great Yarmouth Town win was 2-1 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Cheshunt in this match.

Result
Great Yarmouth TownDrawCheshunt
20.53% (0.429 0.43) 19.79% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 59.67% (-0.492 -0.49)
Both teams to score 63.91% (0.525 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.88% (0.358 0.36)32.11% (-0.366 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.3% (0.418 0.42)53.7% (-0.424 -0.42)
Great Yarmouth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5% (0.596 0.6)28.49% (-0.603 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.73% (0.746 0.75)64.26% (-0.752 -0.75)
Cheshunt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.38% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)10.62% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.57% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)34.43% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Great Yarmouth Town 20.53%
    Cheshunt 59.67%
    Draw 19.79%
Great Yarmouth TownDrawCheshunt
2-1 @ 5.35% (0.072 0.07)
1-0 @ 3.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.073 0.07)
2-0 @ 2.38% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.24% (0.066 0.07)
3-0 @ 1% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 20.53%
1-1 @ 8.52% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6% (0.077 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.02% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.88% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 19.79%
1-2 @ 9.55% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.61% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-3 @ 7.14% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.78% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-3 @ 5.69% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 4.48% (0.055 0.05)
1-4 @ 4% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.19% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-4 @ 2.51% (0.03 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.8% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.43% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.13% (0.012 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.05% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 59.67%

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