FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Replays

Nov 14, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex)

Horsham
0 - 3
Barnsley

Barker (41'), Tuck (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Cadden (3'), McAtee (10', 27')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Horsham and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Horsham

Last Game: Barnsley 3-3 Horsham
Friday, November 3 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Barnsley

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Derby 3-0 Barnsley
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Although Barnsley may have slipped up to draw the initial cup meeting, we do not see history repeating itself, which is why we believe that the EFL side will utilise their extra-quality to claim an away win and secure their place in the second round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 82.18%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Horsham had a probability of 6.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-3 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-3 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.23%), while for a Horsham win it was 2-1 (2.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Barnsley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barnsley.

Result
Horsham	Draw	Barnsley
6.39% ( -0)	11.42% ( -0)	82.18% ( 0)

Both teams to score 51.06% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.06% (

0.01)

26.93% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.59% (

0.02)

47.4% (

-0.02)

Horsham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.66% (

0.01)

46.34% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.01% (

81.98% (

-0.01)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.15%

4.84% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.5% (

0.01)

19.5% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Horsham 6.39%

Barnsley 82.18%

Draw 11.42%

Horsham	Draw	Barnsley
2-1 @ 2.01% ( -0) 1-0 @ 1.73% ( -0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 6.39%	1-1 @ 5.23% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.04% 0-0 @ 2.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 11.42%	0-3 @ 10.38% 0-2 @ 10.28% 1-3 @ 7.99% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0) 0-4 @ 7.86% 0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0) 1-4 @ 6.05% ( 0) 0-5 @ 4.76% ( 0) 1-5 @ 3.66% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0) 0-6 @ 2.4% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.33% ( 0) 1-6 @ 1.85% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.41% ( 0) 0-7 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 4.41% Total : 82.18%