League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby3 - 0Barnsley
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derby 4-1 Wolves U21s
Wednesday, November 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Wednesday, November 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barnsley 3-3 Horsham
Friday, November 3 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Friday, November 3 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
We said: Derby County 1-1 Barnsley
Despite both sides finding themselves in and around the playoff places at this early stage, neither are yet to truly kick into gear so far this term, and we do not envisage either team outclassing the other at Pride Park on Saturday and instead opt for a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 51.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 23.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Barnsley |
51.96% ( 0.02) | 24.59% ( 0) | 23.45% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.46% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.61% ( -0.02) | 50.39% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.67% ( -0.01) | 72.32% ( 0.01) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.62% ( 0) | 19.37% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.83% | 51.17% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.83% ( -0.02) | 36.17% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.04% ( -0.02) | 72.95% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Derby County 51.96%
Barnsley 23.45%
Draw 24.58%
| Derby County | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.25% 3-0 @ 5.16% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.97% Total : 51.96% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 7.13% 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 23.45% |
How you voted: Derby vs Barnsley
Derby County
57.1%Draw
14.3%Barnsley
28.6%7
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Derby
2-1
Barnsley
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Nov 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Barnsley
2-1
Derby
