League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
We said: Barnsley 2-0 Shrewsbury Town
Shrewsbury's away form has been dire for most of the calendar year, with Taylor so far proving powerless to change that, having lost four of his six away trips without scoring a goal.
We expect that pattern to continue when they visit Barnsley, who will be determined to start making up some ground on the division's top two teams sooner rather than later as they look to return to the Championship.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 58.65% . A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 19.26% .
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.93%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%) , while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.5%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result Barnsley Draw Shrewsbury Town 58.65% ( 0.33) 22.08% ( -0.2) 19.26% ( -0.13)
Both teams to score 53.43% ( 0.44)
55.17% ( 0.7) 44.83% ( -0.69)
32.81% ( 0.67) 67.19% ( -0.66)
85.04% ( 0.34) 14.95% ( -0.34)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 56.63% ( 0.65) 43.37% ( -0.65)
62.83% ( 0.27) 37.17% ( -0.27)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.04% ( 0.26) 73.95% ( -0.26)
Barnsley 58.65%
Shrewsbury Town 19.26%
Draw 22.08%
Barnsley Draw Shrewsbury Town 1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 58.65% 1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.08% 0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.53% Total : 19.26%
How you voted: Barnsley vs Shrewsbury
Barnsley
Draw
Shrewsbury Town
19
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-06 19:47:49
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