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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Barnsley
3 - 0
Shrewsbury

Kane (19' pen.), Styles (23'), Cole (75')
Styles (14')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Dunkley (4'), Taylor (5'), Flanagan (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Barnsley and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-0 Derby
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-0 Shrewsbury Town

Shrewsbury's away form has been dire for most of the calendar year, with Taylor so far proving powerless to change that, having lost four of his six away trips without scoring a goal. We expect that pattern to continue when they visit Barnsley, who will be determined to start making up some ground on the division's top two teams sooner rather than later as they look to return to the Championship. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawShrewsbury Town
58.65% (0.329 0.33) 22.08% (-0.201 -0.2) 19.26% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 53.43% (0.441 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.17% (0.695 0.7)44.83% (-0.694 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.81% (0.666 0.67)67.19% (-0.664 -0.66)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04% (0.343 0.34)14.95% (-0.342 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.63% (0.646 0.65)43.37% (-0.646 -0.65)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.83% (0.267 0.27)37.17% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.04% (0.263 0.26)73.95% (-0.264 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 58.65%
    Shrewsbury Town 19.26%
    Draw 22.08%
BarnsleyDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 10.56% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 10.03% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.36% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.02% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.99% (0.075 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.048 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 58.65%
1-1 @ 10.45% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.56% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.08%
0-1 @ 5.5% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.71% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 19.26%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Shrewsbury

Barnsley
100%
Draw
0.0%
Shrewsbury Town
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Barnsley
2-1
Shrewsbury
Cadden (40'), Cole (45+2')
Phillips (90+1')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Barnsley
2-1
Shrewsbury
Mowatt (23'), Brown (55')
Campbell (38')
Whalley (54'), Waterfall (85')
Oct 23, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Shrewsbury
3-1
Barnsley
Docherty (2'), Norburn (23'), Waterfall (68')
Grant (17')
Pinnock (49')
McGeehan (51'), Mowatt (81'), Hedges (90')
Jan 16, 2016 3pm
Shrewsbury
0-3
Barnsley

Black (44'), Brown (51'), Whitbread (59'), Wellens (72')
Winnall (15', 21'), Mawson (72')
Watkins (25'), Long (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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