Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lancing win with a probability of 52.64%. A win for Athletic Newham had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lancing win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.48%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Athletic Newham win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
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