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FA Cup
FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Phillips 66 Community Stadium

Leamington
1 - 0
Carlton Town

Williams (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Leamington FC and Carlton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leamington FC

All competitions
Last Game: Warrington Town 1-1 Leamington
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League North

Carlton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Carlton Town 1-0 Stamford
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leamington FC win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Carlton Town had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leamington FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Carlton Town win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leamington FC would win this match.

Result
Leamington FCDrawCarlton Town
53.52% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 22.88% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 23.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.17% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)42.91% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.68% (0.0049999999999955 0)65.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Leamington FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.99%16.01% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)45.34%
Carlton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.07% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)31.93% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.62% (0.009999999999998 0.01)68.38% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leamington FC 53.52%
    Carlton Town 23.6%
    Draw 22.88%
Leamington FCDrawCarlton Town
2-1 @ 9.79%
1-0 @ 9.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.98%
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.74%
4-0 @ 2.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 53.52%
1-1 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.88%
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 23.6%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255
> Premier League Full Table


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