Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round clash between Leyton Orient and Derby County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Derby
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
31
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw has a probability of 25% and a win for Derby County has a probability of 19.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Derby County win it is 0-1 (7.31%).
Result | ||
Leyton Orient | Draw | Derby County |
55.19% ( 0.01) | 24.98% ( 0.01) | 19.83% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 45.68% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.36% ( -0.09) | 55.64% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.2% ( -0.07) | 76.8% ( 0.07) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.86% ( -0.03) | 20.14% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.59% ( -0.05) | 52.41% ( 0.05) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.2% ( -0.09) | 42.8% ( 0.08) |