League One

League One | Gameweek 21

Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK

Brisbane Road

Leyton Orient
0 - 3
Derby

El Mizouni (47')
Cooper (44')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sibley (34'), Mendez-Laing (47'), Barkhuizen (79')
Hourihane (8')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leyton Orient

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Chesterfield 1-0 Leyton Orient
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Derby County

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Derby 3-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, December 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Leyton Orient 1-3 Derby County

With the two sides experiencing contrasting spells of form, we think that a confident Derby side will get the better of Leyton Orient to claim their fifth consecutive league victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Leyton Orient	Draw	Derby County
29.69% ( 0.01)	26.82% ( -0)	43.49% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.77% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.95% (

0.01)

55.05% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.69% (

0.01)

76.31% (

-0.01)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.46% (

0.01)

33.54% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.82% (

0.02)

70.18% (

-0.02)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.88% (

-0)

25.12% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.18% (

-0)

59.82% (

Score Analysis

Leyton Orient 29.69%

Derby County 43.48%

Draw 26.82%

Leyton Orient	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 9.2% 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.03% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 29.69%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.42% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.82%	0-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.78% 0-2 @ 8.04% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.7% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.48%