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Leyton Orient
League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 1pm UK
Brisbane Road
Crawley Town

Leyton Orient
3 - 0
Crawley

Kelman (33'), Agyei (50'), Beckles (55')
O'Neill (76'), Pratley (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wollacott (25'), Roles (45+1'), Kelley (74'), Camara (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-4 Leyton Orient
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Birmingham
Monday, December 23 at 8.15pm in League One

We said: Leyton Orient 2-1 Crawley Town

With both teams having been in relatively good form of late, this should prove to be a competitive encounter. However, with an unbeaten run and longer recovery period in their favour, we have to back Orient to come through this game, potentially during the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawCrawley Town
56.1% (-0.132 -0.13) 22.93% (0.0030000000000001 0) 20.98% (0.124 0.12)
Both teams to score 53.45% (0.172 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.84% (0.14 0.14)46.16% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.54% (0.132 0.13)68.46% (-0.137 -0.14)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.73% (0.0010000000000048 0)16.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.18% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)45.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.84% (0.202 0.2)36.16% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.06% (0.207 0.21)72.94% (-0.211 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 56.09%
    Crawley Town 20.98%
    Draw 22.92%
Leyton OrientDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 10.68% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.7% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.87% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.98%
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 56.09%
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.92%
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.53% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.04% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 20.98%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Crawley
0-2
Leyton Orient

Tunnicliffe (18'), Lynch (21'), Hutchinson (70'), Tilley (90'), Nadesan (90+3')
Archibald (8'), Drinan (90+5')
Mitchell (86')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Leyton Orient
1-2
Crawley
Morris (62' og.)
Ogie (13'), Smith (32'), Clay (73'), Happe (82'), Wood (87'), Pratley (90+1')
Pratley (90+6')
Francomb (32'), Appiah (66')
Appiah (28'), Ferry (37'), Davies (51')
Oct 5, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Crawley
0-4
Leyton Orient
Sotiriou (7', 59'), Happe (30'), Kemp (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham35257358233582
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham36208850302068
4Charlton AthleticCharlton36189947311663
5Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
6Bolton WanderersBolton36186125954560
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading361610105145658
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool36121595448651
12Stevenage36139143437-348
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Exeter CityExeter35127163950-1143
17Bristol Rovers36126183955-1642
18Mansfield TownMansfield36118174150-941
19Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3679203866-2830
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3678213560-2529
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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