Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melksham Town win with a probability of 67.63%. A win for Welton Rovers had a probability of 16.42% and a draw had a probability of 15.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melksham Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Welton Rovers win was 1-2 (3.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melksham Town would win this match.
-0.17) 
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