FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round

Dec 3, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

AESSEAL New York Stadium

Rotherham
1 - 0
Stockport

Smith (43')
Miller (38'), Smith (39'), Ladapo (70'), Mattock (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Collar (20'), Southam-Hales (60'), Sarcevic (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's FA Cup clash between Rotherham United and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Rotherham United 3-0 Stockport County

With the freedom of playing with no pressure, Stockport will fancy their chances of causing a surprise in Yorkshire. However, we cannot back against the home side, who know that a ruthless showing in the first half would end the tie as a contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 54.12%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 23.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham United	Draw	Stockport County
54.12%	22.41%	23.47%

Both teams to score 58.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.1%

40.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.71%

63.29%

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.9%

15.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.36%

43.64%

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.07%

30.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.77%

67.23%

Score Analysis

Rotherham United 54.12%

Stockport County 23.48%

Draw 22.41%

Rotherham United	Draw	Stockport County
2-1 @ 9.79% 1-0 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 6.17% 3-0 @ 5.26% 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 2.92% 4-0 @ 2.49% 4-2 @ 1.71% 5-1 @ 1.1% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.93% Total : 54.12%	1-1 @ 10.36% 2-2 @ 5.75% 0-0 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.41%	1-2 @ 6.08% 0-1 @ 5.48% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.82% Total : 23.48%