Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.