Exeter

2 - 1

Crawley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.