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[monks data]
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 13, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
Polman Stadion
Feyenoord

Heracles
1 - 1
Feyenoord

Bakis (68' pen.)
Quagliata (27'), Propper (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kokcu (64')
Diemers (85')

Preview: Heracles vs. Feyenoord - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Feyenoord square off against Heracles on Thursday knowing that victory will secure fifth position in the Eredivisie standings.

While the visitors are attempting to qualify for the Europa League, Heracles will finish in the top half of the table if they can claim four points from their remaining two matches.


Match preview

Feyenoord head coach Dick Advocaat pictured on November 5, 2020© Reuters

With RKC Waalwijk to come at the weekend, Feyenoord boss Dick Advocaat will remain confident that his side will eventually finish in the top five of the standings.

However, on the back of two straight defeats, Feyenoord need a positive response, particularly having succumbed 3-0 at the hands of Ajax last weekend.

That game was effectively decided by two own goals, but Advocaat will not use that as an excuse with his team having now shipped six strikes in two matches.

Given the difficulty of Vitesse's closing two fixtures, Feyenoord will still have fourth spot in their sights, although Advocaat will now be more than satisfied with edging out FC Utrecht for the final Europa League spot.

Feyenoord have had players sent off in each of their last three fixtures, a run that their veteran boss will demand comes to an end on Thursday afternoon.

While seventh spot is realistically out of Heracles' reach, manager Frank Wormuth will want his team to perform against the odds to secure eighth.

Heracles are the outsiders against Feyenoord and AZ, but picking up seven points from their most recent four fixtures has kept the club above some of their faltering rivals.

Wormuth's side were denied at FC Twente in their last outing, with Danilo netting an 89th-minute equaliser for the home side.

On a more positive note, Heracles took their recent tally to 10 strikes in four encounters, a statistic which will concern their high-profile opponents ahead of the game at Erve Asito.

Heracles Eredivisie form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D

Feyenoord Eredivisie form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L



Team News

Feyenoord will be without Tyrell Malacia after the left-back was sent off against Ajax for two yellow cards.

Ridgeciano Haps is in line to come into the team, while Nicolai Jorgensen is pushing for an opportunity in the final third.

Jens Toornstra will also come back into contention having served a one-match ban.

Wormuth is expected to keep changes to a minimum after his Heracles players impressed during the draw at Twente.

Ismail Azzaoui may get the nod on the right flank ahead of Kasper Lunding Jakobsen.

Heracles possible starting lineup:
Blaswich; Fadiga, Propper, Knoester, Quagliata; Vloet, Schoofs, Torre; Azzaoui, Bakis, Burgzorg

Feyenoord possible starting lineup:
Bijlow; Geertruida, Botteghin, Senesi, Haps; Teixeira, Fer, Kokcu; Linssen, Jorgensen, Toornstra


SM words green background

We say: Heracles 1-2 Feyenoord

Given Feyenoord's recent form in the Eredivisie, Heracles will fancy their chances of causing an upset.

However, with Europa League football at stake, we expect the visitors to raise their game and edge out their hosts.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Heracles vs Feyenoord

Heracles
26.1%
Draw
13.0%
Feyenoord
60.9%
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Ron Jans, now in charge of FC Twente, pictured in September 2019
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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