Arteta is seemingly set to stick with his tried-and-trusted crop as the season draws ever nearer, and getting one over a full-strength Arsenal side should be a step too far for Orlando. Jesus has started life at Arsenal as he means to go on, and while Orlando's attackers may have the formula to get one past familiar foe Turner, Arteta's men will expect to continue their clinical form at the other end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Arsenal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Arsenal
30.78% ( 1.11)	24.09% ( -0.14)	45.13% ( -0.97)

Both teams to score 59.22% (

1.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57% (

1.22)

43% (

-1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.6% (

1.2)

65.4% (

-1.2)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.33% (

1.34)

26.67% (

-1.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.09% (

1.75)

61.91% (

-1.75)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.75% (

0.09)

19.24% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.04% (

0.14)

50.96% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 30.78%

Arsenal 45.13%

Draw 24.08%

Orlando City	Draw	Arsenal
2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.14% Total : 30.78%	1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.08%	1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.44) 0-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.22% Total : 45.13%