Major League Soccer

Jul 17, 2022 at 8pm UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
1 - 1
Orlando City

Sanchez (71')
Sejdic (45+1'), McFadden (59'), Araujo (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pereyra (10')
Urso (36'), Pereyra (69'), Michel (73'), Ruan (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 Orlando City

Overall, Atlanta possesses more quality than Orlando, but the Lions have done well to neutralize opposing attacks, so we expect them to show discipline and structure against an aggressive Five Stripes team, who have not proven that they can remain consistent from one match to another. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Orlando City
58.57% ( 0.03)	22.42% ( 0.02)	19% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 51.89% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.34% (

-0.16)

46.66% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.07% (

-0.15)

68.93% (

0.15)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.39% (

-0.04)

15.6% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.41% (

-0.08)

44.59% (

0.08)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.49% (

-0.15)

38.51% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.74% (

-0.15)

75.26% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 58.56%

Orlando City 19%

Draw 22.42%

Atlanta United	Draw	Orlando City
1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 58.56%	1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.42%	0-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 19%