Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Institute had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Institute win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.